State capture is a growing threat. Reversing it is hard
The 15-70-15 rule and other ways to prise powerful fingers from the public coffers

State capture, the erosion of public institutions by private interests, has become a growing threat worldwide. This phenomenon, often driven by powerful elites, involves the manipulation of political systems to serve their own economic interests, often at the expense of public welfare. Reversing state capture is notoriously difficult, as it requires dismantling entrenched networks of corruption and influence.
One of the most infamous methods used in state capture is the 15-70-15 rule. This rule, coined by former Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, refers to the division of power among political elites, business elites, and the military. Under this rule, 15% of the state's resources are allocated to political elites for their survival, 70% to business elites for profit, and 15% to the military for maintaining order. This unequal distribution ensures that the state's resources are controlled by a small, privileged group, leaving the majority of the population with little access to essential services or economic opportunities.
The 15-70-15 rule is not unique to Brazil; it reflects a broader pattern of state capture that can be found in many countries. In India, for instance, the term "crony capitalism" describes a system where political power is leveraged to benefit a small group of businessmen, often at the expense of the broader economy. Similarly, in countries like Russia and Venezuela, state capture has led to the concentration of wealth and power in the hands of a few, resulting in economic stagnation and social unrest.
Reversing state capture requires a multifaceted approach. One key strategy is to strengthen democratic institutions, such as independent judiciaries and free media, which can act as a check on power and ensure accountability. Additionally, transparency initiatives, such as the publication of public spending and the disclosure of conflicts of interest, can help expose corrupt practices and hold those in power accountable.
Another approach is to promote economic diversification and inclusive growth. By reducing dependence on a few powerful sectors or individuals, countries can create a more equitable distribution of resources and opportunities. This can be achieved through targeted investments in infrastructure, education, and healthcare, which can empower marginalized groups and reduce the influence of elites.
However, reversing state capture is challenging. Entrenched elites often resist reforms, using their wealth and influence to undermine efforts to dismantle their power structures. In some cases, they may even exploit democratic processes to their advantage, such as through gerrymandering or the manipulation of electoral systems.
Moreover, international cooperation is crucial in addressing state capture. Multinational corporations and wealthy individuals can often exert significant influence over national policies, making it difficult for individual countries to act alone. International agreements, such as those promoting tax transparency and anti-corruption measures, can help curb the ability of elites to exploit weak regulatory environments.
In conclusion, state capture poses a significant threat to democratic governance and economic development. While the 15-70-15 rule serves as a stark reminder of the scale of this problem, reversing it requires a concerted effort to strengthen institutions, promote transparency, and foster inclusive economic growth. The challenge is immense, but the potential benefits—greater equality, sustainable development, and a more just society—make it a worthwhile endeavor.










