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New Fatebook Android App

tldr; get the new Fatebook Android app! What is Fatebook? Fatebook.io is a website [1] for easily tracking your predictions and becoming better calibrated at them. I like it a lot, and find it convenient for practicing probabilistic thinking. The Fatebook.io dashboard That said, I've found Fatebook's mobile version to be clunky, and its email-based notifications to be less-than-ideal...which leads me to: The New Android App Over the past two weeks, I've made an android app that wraps the Fatebook API, allowing you to easily make new forecasts, leave comments, resolve old forecasts, and view your stats. The default screen A (non-resolved) prediction card Making a new prediction Statistics A beautiful and intuitive UI combined with a fast offline-first database makes it easy pull open the app and log a prediction within fifteen seconds of thinking of one, while once-daily "remember to predict!" and " x is ready to resolve!" notifications help you remember to make and review new predictions. Give it a try if you'd like! [2] https://github.com/JapanColorado/fatebook-android Feedback or development help is very much appreciated! (so far it's just been Claude Code and I) ^ Made by the fabulous folks over at Sage Future, also behind the AI Village, Quantified Intuitions, and the Estimation Game! ^ It does currently require installing from the GitHub Releases APK file (aka enabling "Install from unknown sources"). Let me know if being non-Google Play Store is a deal breaker for you and I'll bump getting it published in priority! Discuss

6 April 2026 at 02:08 pm
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New Fatebook Android App

The New Fatebook Android App: A Convenient Way to Track and Improve Predictions

Fatebook.io, a website designed for tracking predictions and enhancing calibration, has recently seen the launch of its dedicated Android app. Developed over two weeks by the team behind Sage Future, the app aims to provide a seamless and intuitive experience for users looking to improve their probabilistic thinking skills.

Fatebook.io has been a popular platform for those interested in refining their prediction abilities. The website offers a user-friendly dashboard that allows users to easily track their predictions and monitor their calibration. However, the mobile version of Fatebook.io has been criticized for being clunky, and its email-based notifications have been deemed less than ideal. This has led to the development of the new Android app, which addresses these shortcomings and offers a more streamlined experience.

The Fatebook Android app is built to wrap the Fatebook API, enabling users to effortlessly create new forecasts, leave comments, resolve old predictions, and view their statistics. The app's design is both beautiful and intuitive, with a fast offline-first database that allows users to log a prediction within just 15 seconds of having the idea. Additionally, the app provides once-daily notifications, such as "remember to predict!" and "x is ready to resolve!", to help users stay on top of their predictions and review them regularly.

One of the key features of the app is its ability to function offline, ensuring that users can access their predictions and make updates even when they are not connected to the internet. This offline capability is particularly useful for those who want to practice their prediction skills on the go or in situations where internet access is limited.

The app's user interface is designed to be simple and easy to navigate. The default screen displays a (non-resolved) prediction card, allowing users to quickly create a new prediction or view their existing ones. The "Making a new prediction" screen is straightforward, with fields for the prediction, confidence level, and comments. The "Statistics" screen provides users with an overview of their performance, including metrics such as accuracy and calibration.

The Fatebook Android app is currently available for installation from the GitHub Releases APK file, which requires enabling "Install from unknown sources" on the user's device. The developers, Claude Code and the Sage Future team, are open to feedback and development help to further improve the app. They are also considering publishing the app on the Google Play Store if users find the current installation method to be a significant barrier.

In conclusion, the new Fatebook Android app offers a convenient and efficient solution for users looking to improve their prediction skills. With its intuitive design, offline functionality, and regular notifications, the app makes it easy for users to stay engaged with their predictions and refine their probabilistic thinking. For those interested in trying out the app, it is available on GitHub, and the developers are eager to receive feedback and support to enhance the user experience.

Source: LessWrong
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