Most in Asean prefer China over US as partner in poll, Trump cited as biggest concern

In a recent survey conducted by the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute, most Southeast Asians expressed a preference for China over the United States as a strategic partner. This finding highlights growing concerns in the region regarding the geopolitical and trade uncertainties stemming from Washington’s policies. While the results might seem to suggest a shift in allegiance, analysts caution against viewing this as a zero-sum game between the two superpowers. Instead, the survey indicates that ASEAN nations are increasingly looking to diversify their partnerships in a world characterized by multiple influential powers.

The survey, which has been conducted annually, reveals a significant shift in sentiment among Southeast Asian citizens. When asked to choose between the US and China, a majority leaned towards China, citing factors such as economic stability, infrastructure development, and a more predictable trade environment. This preference is not entirely new, but the recent surge in respondents favoring China can be attributed to the volatile geopolitical landscape created by the Trump administration.

During President Trump’s tenure, the US has been criticized for its unpredictable foreign policy, trade tensions, and skepticism towards multilateral institutions. These factors have led many in the region to question the reliability of the US as a strategic partner. In contrast, China has been more consistent in its approach, offering infrastructure investments and trade deals that have bolstered economic growth in several ASEAN countries.

However, analysts emphasize that the survey results should not be interpreted as a complete rejection of the US. Rather, it reflects a pragmatic approach by ASEAN nations to balance their relationships with both superpowers. In a multipolar world, where multiple powers are shaping global affairs, ASEAN countries are seeking to diversify their partnerships to ensure their economic and political interests are protected.

This diversification strategy is not without challenges. The US has been vocal about its concerns regarding China’s growing influence in the region, particularly in areas such as the South China Sea and human rights abuses. However, ASEAN countries are navigating a complex situation where they must balance their economic interests with their sovereignty and regional stability.

Moreover, the survey highlights the need for the US to reassess its approach to the region. While the Trump administration’s policies have undoubtedly contributed to the shift in sentiment, the Biden administration has taken steps to rebuild trust and cooperation. Engaging in constructive dialogue and addressing regional concerns could help restore the US’s appeal as a strategic partner.

In conclusion, the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute survey reveals a complex reality in Southeast Asia, where the region’s strategic preferences are shaped by a mix of economic interests, geopolitical uncertainties, and the actions of global powers. While China has gained favor in the polls, ASEAN nations are not abandoning the US entirely. Instead, they are adopting a pragmatic approach to diversify their partnerships in a world where multiple powers are vying for influence. The US, for its part, must work to regain the trust and confidence of its regional allies to maintain its position as a key player in the Asia-Pacific.